Monday 9/20/2010

Today's Market Highlights:  
Exception 1 - Today is the Monday after option expiration down day.  We have had 74 such days in the past 13 years.  57% have ended lower by the end of the day with a win/loss ratio of 0.67.  That means if we had bought at open and sold at the close on every such day, the total loss is 1.5 times the win.
Exception 2 -On Friday the market made a new 20 day high.  From 74 incidents in Exception 1, only 10 met the criteria of 20 day high.  This small sample indicates that 70% of the time the market ended higher with win/loss ration of 1.6.
IMPORTANT NOTICE: There is a risk of loss in futures, forex and options trading. There is risk of loss trading futures, forex and options online. Please trade with capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All  signals are result  of  mathematical and human analysis of the information obtained from sources, which are believed to be reliable, but accuracy and thoroughness cannot be guaranteed. Readers are solely responsible for how they use the information and for their results. I do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information or any analysis based thereon.

You can trade ES in a real or free demo account with GLOBAL FUTURES .

Exit your positions before any scheduled major news because such news take command of the market and cancel the effect of  any probability calculations based on yesterdays price actions.  All zones are exclusive.  Always check for latest update before opening.
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This forecast is based on analysis of data tables prepared by computer simulation and modeling every night based on more than 12 year of data.













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